Rain showers and a thunderstorm or two are slated to sweep through the Merced area, according to the National Weather Service.
“There is a pretty significant storm that’s going to move in late (Wednesday), and it’s looking like we’re going to get a period of moderate rain in the Merced area,” said David Spector, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service.
At least half an inch of rain could fall in the Valley, the weather service said in an X post.
There’s also a slight chance of thunderstorms on Thursday, according to Spector.
The last time Merced saw measurable rain was in March 6, when 1.8 inches of rainfall fell in the city, the weather service said.
Here’s what to expect:
Tuesday was expected to be sunny in Merced, with a high temperature near 68 degrees and a low temperature around 47 degrees, according to the weather service’s latest seven-day forecast.
On Tuesday and Wednesday, “We’re going to have slightly above-normal temperatures, but they’re going to plunge behind the storm on Thursday,” Spector said.
Showers are expected to start on Wednesday after 11 a.m., according to the forecast.
There is a 70% chance of rain on Wednesday, which will be mostly cloudy with a high near 64 and wind gusts as high as 30 mph.
The chance of precipitation jumps to 100% on Wednesday night, when a low around 44 is expected.
“New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch (are) possible,” the weather service said in its forecast.
On Thursday, there is a 70% chance of rain before 11 a.m. with a thunderstorm possible after that point. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
“There is a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening,” Spector said.
Merced could get a 10th to quarter of an inch of rain, with “higher amounts possible in case of thunderstorms,” the weather service said.
Thursday will have a high near 57 and an overnight low around 38.
Friday is also expected to see some rain, with a high near 52 and an overnight low around 40.
“Thursday and Friday will be much cooler than normal,” Spector said, noting that highs will hover around the mid 50s while lows could possibly dip into the upper 30s.
The Merced area will get a break from the rain on Saturday, which will be sunny with a high near 63. Saturday night will be mostly clear with a low around 41.
Sunday is also expected to have showers.
Otherwise the day will be partly sunny, with a high near 68 and gusts as high as 20 mph.
Rain could continue into Sunday night, which will have a low around 48.
“We’re looking at another weak system on Sunday night and Monday, and these systems are not going to produce as much precipitation,” Spector said. “We’re looking at about a 10th of an inch to a quarter of an inch from these (storm systems).”
Monday will be mostly cloudy, with a high near 62 and wind gusts as high as 15 mph.
“There’s the potential for another storm late next week, but there’s a lot of uncertainty with that one,” Spector said.
Most of California can expect below-normal temperatures and near-normal precipitation from March 19 through March 25, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center.
This story was originally published March 11, 2025 at 1:28 PM.
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Fernanda Galan covers Central Valley and California news as The Fresno Bee’s service journalism reporter. Before joining The Bee in 2024, she reported in Milwaukee, Arizona and Los Angeles. She is a graduate of Arizona State’s Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication.